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September 10, 2010 continental United States
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGOR...LOCATED ABOUT 350 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. 1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED AND BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING IN ASSOCIATION WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED OVER THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 5 MPH. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. Tropical Storm IGOR
IGOR REGAINS TROPICAL STORM STATUS OVER THE FAR EASTERN
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR... TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM... ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. September 9, 2010 continental United States
Tropical Depression HERMINE
REMNANTS OF HERMINE CONTINUE TO BRING FLOODING POTENTIAL ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND THE OZARKS SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION LOCATION...36.8N 96.2W WATCHES AND WARNINGS FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND ADVISORIES REMAIN FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF REMNANTS OF TROPICAL MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 20 MPH...30 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. HAZARDS RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF TWO TO FOUR INCHES...WITH LOCALIZED RAINFALL TOTALS SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 10 AM CDT ...ARKANSAS... ...KANSAS... ...MISSOURI... ...OKLAHOMA... ...TEXAS... NEXT ADVISORY NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 400 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL FORECASTER GERHARDT FORECAST POSITIONS INITIAL 09/1500Z 36.8N 96.2W FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGOR...LOCATED ABOUT 50 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. 1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED NEAR THE WINDWARD ISLANDS ARE SHOWING SOME SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT AS THE LOW MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. Tropical Storm IGOR
IGOR NOW MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION LOCATION...14.7N 24.8W WATCHES AND WARNINGS CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IGOR WAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND WINDS...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE SOUTHERN CAPE Western Pacific TYPHOON MERANTI
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
1. TYPHOON 11W (MERANTI) WARNING NR 007 Wednesday, September 8, 2010 Tuesday, September 7, 2010 Tropical Storm Hermine (Gulf of Mexico)
NASA Saw Strong T-storms in Quick-Forming Hermine's Center, Warm Water to Power It September 07, 2010 - Tropical Storm Hermine formed very quickly yesterday in the very warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico, and northeastern Mexico and southeastern Texas are now bearing the brunt of the storm. Infrared imagery taken from NASA's AIRS instrument showed a quick organization of strong thunderstorms around Hermine's center of circulation and very warm Gulf waters that powered her up. At 11 p.m. EDT on September 6, Hermine made landfall as a strong tropical storm producing heavy rains over northeastern Mexico and South Texas. This morning there's a tropical storm warning in effect from Bahia Algodones, Mexico Northward to Port O'Connor, Texas as Hermine is continuing to move inland in a north-northwest direction at 17 mph. At 8 a.m. EDT, Hermine's maximum sustained winds had decreased from their peak of 60 mph to 45 mph now that she's over land in south Texas. She's centered near 27.7 North and 98.2 West, which is about 35 miles southwest of Mathis, Texas. Mathis is about 171 miles north of Brownsville, Texas, the southernmost city in the state. Minimum central pressure is 991 millibars. Tropical Storm Hermine formed quickly in the extreme western Gulf of Mexico on Labor Day in the U.S., Monday, September 6. On Friday, Sept. 4, forecasters were watching a low pressure area, and two days later, even close to the coast tropical depression 11 formed and quickly strengthened into a tropical storm. Infrared imagery from NASA's Aqua satellite instrument the Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS) captured Tropical Storm Hermine right after she formed on Sept. 6 at 19:53 UTC (3:53 p.m. EDT), showed strong convection and strong, high thunderstorms around the center of circulation indicating an organized tropical storm. AIRS data also showed that that sea surface temperatures where Hermine formed yesterday were about 86 degrees Fahrenheit (30 Celsius), way above the 80F threshold needed to power a tropical cyclone. A large threat from Hermine is extreme rainfall. She's expected to produce between 4 and 8 inches of rain with isolated totals up to 12 inches from southern Texas northward through northern Texas and into central and eastern Oklahoma. The National Hurricane Center noted that the rains are expected to continue spreading northeastward into Kansas, northwestern Arkansas and Missouri over the next few days and could caused life-threatening flash floods. The visible satellite image from the GOES-13 satellite at 11:31 UTC (7:31 a.m. EDT) on Sept. 7, 2010, showed the large extent of Tropical Storm Hermine's clouds stretching north into Oklahoma, Missouri and Arkansas, and south into northern Mexico. GOES-13 is one of the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites operated by NOAA. NASA's GOES Project at NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center, in Greenbelt, Md. creates images and animations from GOES satellite data. Meanwhile, tropical-storm force winds are expected in the warning area, and isolated tornadoes are possible across portions of southeast Texas through today.
..HERMINE STILL A TROPICAL STORM...PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL OVER SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION LOCATION...29.9N 98.7W WATCHES AND WARNINGS THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HERMINE WAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL OCCUR OVER A SMALL AREA NEAR STORM SURGE...WATER LEVELS ALONG THE TEXAS COAST WILL GRADUALLY RAINFALL...HERMINE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL earlier continental United States
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM HERMINE...LOCATED INLAND ABOUT 50 MILES WEST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS. 1. CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF GASTON. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH WITH NO SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 2. A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 350 MILES WEST OF THE NORTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE LOW MOVES WESTWARD NEAR 10 MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 3. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED BETWEEN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS AND THE WEST COAST OF AFRICA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. Tropical Storm HERMINE
HERMINE MOVING FARTHER INLAND OVER SOUTH TEXAS...STILL A TROPICAL SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION LOCATION...28.3N 98.2W WATCHES AND WARNINGS CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF BAFFIN SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HERMINE WAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...29.26 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OVER PORTIONS OF STORM SURGE...WATER LEVELS ALONG THE TEXAS COAST WILL GRADUALLY RAINFALL...HERMINE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL world map
Western Pacific TROPICAL STORM 10W (MALOU)
1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MALOU) ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY 071200Z --- NEAR 35.4N 131.9E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 35.4N 131.9E 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z --- 35.9N 136.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL 071500Z POSITION NEAR 35.5N 133.0E. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MALOU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM WEST OF ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TS TS 10W IS INTERACTING WITH A BAROCLINIC ZONE SITUATED OVER CURRENT INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS IS BASED ON THE LOWER END OF DVORAK Monday, September 6, 2010 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO
Tropical Storm HERMINE A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 97.0W AT 06/2100Z PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB earlier Monday, September 6, 2010 continental United States
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM HERMINE...LOCATED ABOUT 140 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS. 1. CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS REMAIN DISORGANIZED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE REMNANT LOW OF GASTON...LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HEAVY SHOWERS AND WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE IN SQUALLS SHOULD BEGIN TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND INTERESTS IN THESE ISLANDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON HERMINE ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT35 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT5. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HERMINE ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT25 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT5. Tropical Storm HERMINE
LOCATION...24.1N 96.5W WATCHES AND WARNINGS CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK AT 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HERMINE WAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE WARNING STORM SURGE...STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2 TO RAINFALL...HERMINE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF world map
Western Pacific TROPICAL STORM 10W (MALOU)
WARNING POSITION: 061200Z --- NEAR 32.9N 127.0E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY Sunday, September 5, 2010 continental United States
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
1. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY REMAINS DISORGANIZED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE REMNANT LOW OF GASTON LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. HOWEVER...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD RE-FORM IN THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 2. RADAR IMAGERY FROM MEXICO INDICATES THAT A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION DURING THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO BEFORE THE SYSTEM MOVES INLAND. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. world map
Western Pacific TROPICAL STORM 10W (MALOU)
POSITION NEAR 30.8N 126.2E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 10W (MALOU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTH OF CHEJU ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z IS 21 FEET. Saturday, September 4, 2010 As Tropical Storm Earl Moves Northeast, Away From The US, FEMA Continues To Underscore The Importance Of Preparedness All watches and warnings have been discontinued, but caution still urged, as swells and rips currents still exist as far south as New Jersey WASHINGTON September 4, 2010 - As Tropical Storm Earl continues to move northeast, the National Hurricane Center has dropped all watches and warnings from the United States Atlantic Coast line, however dangerous water conditions, including swells and rip currents still exist as far south as New Jersey. Beach goers are urged to head warnings, listen to life guards and be safe. "Thankfully, Earl mostly missed the Atlantic Coast, but September is often the most active part of hurricane season and this serves as a reminder that powerful storms have the ability to strike anywhere along the coast," said FEMA Administrator Craig Fugate. "If you haven't already, don't wait until the next storm, visit Ready.gov today and learn the few simple steps you and your family can take to be prepared." Since this past weekend, FEMA has been in constant communication with East Coast Governors, the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) and the White House. Administrator Fugate briefed President Obama and DHS Secretary Napolitano several times this week on FEMA's actions to assist state and local officials as they prepared for possible response to Hurricane Earl. President Obama has signed pre-landfall emergency declarations for the states of North Carolina and Massachusetts, making federal funding available to support state efforts to save lives and protect property. Well before Earl reached the East Coast, FEMA had taken proactive steps to support state and local officials, including the following: FEMA also coordinated a robust effort across our nation's entire emergency management team, including our federal partners and non-profit organizations, to provide support for regions, if affected by storm activity, including: Information on what individuals and families can do to prepare for an emergency, including flash flooding and other severe weather that frequently accompanies hurricanes, is available at www.Ready.gov. A Spanish version of the website is available at www.Listo.gov. FEMA's mission is to support our citizens and first responders to ensure that as a nation we work together to build, sustain, and improve our capability to prepare for, protect against, respond to, recover from, and mitigate all hazards. FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM EARL...LOCATED ABOUT 55 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CAPE WITTLE QUEBEC. 1. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF GASTON HAVE DIMINISHED SOME THIS EVENING. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ...HOWEVER...APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR RE-DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD RE-FORM IN THIS AREA AT ANY TIME. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...80 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. 2. A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO IS ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE... 40 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. 3. AN ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED BETWEEN THE WEST COAST OF AFRICA AND THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IS PRODUCING LIMITED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED TODAY...AND TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT APPEARS UNLIKELY. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 10 MPH. earlier FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM EARL...LOCATED ABOUT 30 MILES SOUTH OF CHARLOTTETOWN PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND. 1. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF GASTON CONTINUE TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR RE-DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD RE-FORM IN THIS AREA AT ANY TIME. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...80 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. 2. A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO IS ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH. SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE IF IT REMAINS OVER WATER. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. 3. AN ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED BETWEEN THE WEST COAST OF AFRICA AND THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED CONVECTION. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 10 MPH. Tropical Storm EARL TROPICAL STORM EARL RAKING NOVA SCOTIA...WIND INCREASING ON LOCATION...45.8N 63.2W WATCHES AND WARNINGS CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THERE ARE SEVERAL CHANGES TO THE CANADIAN WATCHES AND WARNINGS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK AT 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 965 MB...28.50 INCHES HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND WINDS...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE STILL SPREADING OVER EASTERN STORM SURGE...WATER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO RISE ABOVE NORMAL VALUES RAINFALL...THE TROPICAL STORM IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL much earlier Continental United States
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM EARL...LOCATED ABOUT 40 MILES SOUTH OF CAPE SABLE NOVA SCOTIA. 1. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF GASTON CONTINUE TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION THIS MORNING. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR RE-DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD RE-FORM IN THIS AREA LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. 2. AN ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED BETWEEN THE WEST COAST OF AFRICA AND THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED. HOWEVER... ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS COULD ALLOW FOR SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 10 MPH. 3. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CONTINUES OVER THE SOUTHERN BAY OF CAMPECHE. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR DUE TO PROXIMITY TO LAND. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. Tropical Storm EARL
...TROPICAL STORM EARL MADE LANDFALL NEAR WESTERN HEAD NOVA SCOTIA AROUND 10 AM EDT...1400 UTC. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AFFECTING A LARGE PORTION OF THE PROVINCE... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION LOCATION...44.3N 64.5W WATCHES AND WARNINGS THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR NOVA SCOTIA FROM PORT MAITLAND TO PORT LHEBERT HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK SEVERE TROPICAL STORM EARL MADE LANDFALL NEAR WESTERN HEAD NOVA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 962 MB...28.41 INCHES. THIS HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND WINDS...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE SPREADING OVER NOVA SCOTIA AND STORM SURGE...WATER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO RISE ABOVE NORMAL VALUES RAINFALL...AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED OVER SURF...LARGE SWELLS FROM EARL WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE NORTHEAST FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E...LOCATED ABOUT 165 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E...LOCATED ABOUT 20 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO. TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E NOW A REMNANT LOW LOCATION...21.5N 111.3W WATCHES AND WARNINGS THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE REMNANT LOW OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND NONE. Tropical Depression ELEVEN-E DEPRESSION WEAKENS TO A REMNANT LOW OVER SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO LOCATION...17.0N 95.8W WATCHES AND WARNINGS THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF THE REMNANT LOW OF TROPICAL MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND RAINFALL...THE REMNANTS OF THE DEPRESSION ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE Friday, September 3, 2010 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E...LOCATED ABOUT 195 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ADVISORIES HAVE ALSO BEEN INITIATED ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E...LOCATED ABOUT 95 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO. TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 110.9W AT 04/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN ACROSS PORTIONS OF SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION LOCATION...15.5N 95.2W ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM S OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO MEXICO...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE EARL...LOCATED ABOUT 155 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS...AND ON RECENTLY DOWNGRADED TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIONA...LOCATED ABOUT 100 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA. 1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE REMNANT LOW OF GASTON...WHICH IS LOCATED ABOUT HALFWAY BETWEEN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS AND THE LESSER ANTILLES. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD RE-FORM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE ...60 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 2. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED BETWEEN THE WEST COAST OF AFRICA AND THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS HAVE CHANGED LITTLE THIS EVENING. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 10 MPH. earlier Continental United States
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE EARL...LOCATED ABOUT 130 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA...AND ON TROPICAL STORM FIONA...LOCATED ABOUT 285 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA. 1. CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS LOCATED ABOUT 1150 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS HAVE INCREASED OVERNIGHT IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE REMNANTS OF GASTON. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS MAY BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR RE-DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LOW AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 2. A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED BETWEEN THE WEST COAST OF AFRICA AND THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD NEAR 10 MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. Hurricane EARL
...A LARGE BUT WEAKER HURRICANE EARL HEADING FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND... 11:00 AM EDT Fri Sep 3 Location: 36.8°N 73.1°W Max sustained: 85 mph Moving: NNE at 21 mph Min pressure: 961 mb WATCHES AND WARNINGS THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH CAROLINA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED...AND THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA FOR MASSACHUSETTS HAS BEEN REDUCED. THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR WESTERN LONG ISLAND AND THE COAST OF ALL WATCHES/WARNINGS BETWEEN HULL MASSACHUSETTS AND CAPE ELIZABETH NUMEROUS CHANGES TO CANADIAN WATCHES AND WARNINGS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 85 MPH...140 HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE PLANE WAS HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND WINDS...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE STILL OCCURRING ALONG STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS RAINFALL...EARL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE AN ADDITIONAL INCH OR SO OF SURF...LARGE SWELLS FROM EARL WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE EAST COAST Tropical Storm FIONA
...AIR FORCE RESERVE AIRCRAFT FINDS FIONA WEAKER... 11:00 AM AST Fri Sep 3 Location: 29.0°N 66.4°W Max sustained: 45 mph Moving: NNE at 13 mph Min pressure: 1010 mb WATCHES AND WARNINGS SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO BERMUDA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FIONA WAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM THE LATEST CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH BERMUDA RAINFALL...STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E...LOCATED ABOUT 220 MI SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. 1. A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC IS NEARLY STATIONARY. WHILE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE SOMEWHAT CONDUCIVE...THE PROXIMITY OF THE SYSTEM TO LAND IS EXPECTED TO LIMIT SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS SYSTEM OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO AND GUATEMALA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. Tropical Depression TEN-E
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NOT INTENSIFYING SOUTH OF BAJA CALIFORNIA... 8:00 AM PDT Fri Sep 3 Location: 20.0°N 110.4°W Max sustained: 35 mph Moving: WNW at 8 mph Min pressure: 1000 mb THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. Thursday, September 2, 2010 With Hurricane Warnings In Effect For Parts Of The East Coast, FEMA Urges All Residents To Be Prepared Residents Should Follow the Instructions of Local Officials and Visit Ready.gov to Prepare for Hurricanes and Severe Weather WASHINGTON, D.C. -September 1, 2010- As Hurricane Earl moves toward the East Coast of the United States, the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) is taking aggressive actions to prepare for the storm and is coordinating closely with state and local officials along the East Coast to help support their response as needed. FEMA is also encouraging all East Coast residents to take steps now to prepare for possible severe weather in the coming days. According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC), Earl is currently a Category 3 hurricane, and a hurricane warning has been issued for the North Carolina coast from Bogue Inlet, N.C. north to the North Carolina-Virginia border. In addition, a hurricane watch is in effect from the North Carolina-Virginia border north to Cape Henlopen, Del. and a tropical storm warning is in effect from Cape Fear, N.C. to west of Bogue Inlet N.C. As the storm moves closer, FEMA is closely coordinating. Local officials in North Carolina have issued mandatory evacuations for visitors to Hatteras Island and Ocracoke Islands. As is always the case, state and local officials make decisions on issuing evacuation orders. FEMA encourages all residents and those visiting the East Coast to pay close attention to local updates and heed evacuation orders should they be issued. "We continue to monitor Hurricane Earl and remain in close contact with state and local officials from North Carolina to Maine to ensure they have the resources to respond if needed," said FEMA Administrator Craig Fugate. "I encourage everyone along the eastern seaboard to visit Ready.gov and take steps now to keep their family safe and secure. The most important thing for people to do right now is to listen to and follow the instruction of their local officials. If you are told to evacuate, evacuate." Information on what individuals and families can to prepare for an emergency, including flash flooding and other severe weather that frequently accompanies hurricanes, is available at www.Ready.gov. A Spanish version of the website is available at www.Listo.gov. Since this weekend, FEMA has been in constant contact with the White House and Department of Homeland Security (DHS) to provide regular updates on the storm's developments. Earlier today, Administrator Fugate briefed President Obama on FEMA's preparations for potential impacts of Hurricane Earl on the East Coast and New England, and close coordination with state and local officials in potentially affected states from North Carolina to Maine. FEMA is continuing to monitor the storm's movement in conjunction with the National Hurricane Center, and has deployed teams to North Carolina and other East Coast states to support storm preparations as well as response and recovery efforts as needed. FEMA has also prepositioned commodities for rapid delivery, including water, meals, tarps, blankets, generators and other essential items. Administrator Fugate also briefed the President on the impacts from Hurricane Earl on Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands, both of which have had FEMA teams on the ground since the weekend supporting the Governors' efforts related to the storm. The National Weather Service forecasts the center of Hurricane Earl will move well east and northeast of the Bahamas today, and approach the coast of North Carolina by Friday morning. Officials are closely monitoring the areas from the Carolinas to New England, and FEMA is coordinating with the Governors and local officials along the East Coast to aggressively prepare for possible severe weather. Even if a hurricane does not make landfall, severe weather and flash floods can occur miles inland. In addition, dangerous surf conditions and rip tides are expected along the cost, and swimmers are encouraged to follow closely the instructions of local officials and lifeguards. FEMA has activated the National Response Coordination Center and its Regional Response Coordination Centers in all four of its regional offices in the eastern United States, located in Boston, New York, Philadelphia, and Atlanta. FEMA has designated a Federal Coordinating Officer (FCO) and has staff on the ground North Carolina at the state's Emergency Operations Center in Raleigh supporting the state. FEMA maintains life-saving and life-sustaining commodities and supplies strategically across the country to support states in emergency response, and is proactively sending additional supplies to East Coast states, in case they become needed. For example: FEMA also continues to monitor Tropical Storm Fiona, which according to the National Weather Service, is expected to pass north of the Northern Leeward Islands today. The National Weather Service remains the source of official severe weather watches and warnings, including flash flooding which can take only a few minutes to develop in the case of heavy rains. FEMA encourages all individuals in the region to listen to NOAA Weather Radio and their local news to monitor for severe weather updates, and to follow the directions provided by their local officials. FEMA's mission is to support our citizens and first responders to ensure that as a nation we work together to build, sustain, and improve our capability to prepare for, protect against, respond to, recover from, and mitigate all hazards.
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE EARL...LOCATED ABOUT 355 MILES SOUTH OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA. ADVISORIES ARE ALSO BEING ISSUED ON TROPICAL STORM FIONA...LOCATED ABOUT 610 MILES SOUTH OF BERMUDA...AND ON TROPICAL STORM GASTON...LOCATED ABOUT 965 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. Yellow Area - SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ASSOCIATED WITH A VIGOROUS TROPICAL WAVE...ARE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD NEAR 10 MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ...INTENSE HURRICANE EARL CONTINUES ON A NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK...EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR THE OUTER BANKS TONIGHT...
8:00 AM EDT Thu Sep 2 Location: 30.1°N 74.8°W Max sustained: 145 mph Moving: NNW at 18 mph Min pressure: 932 mb special section hurricane Earl Tropical Storm FIONA
...FIONA TURNS TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR BERMUDA... 11:00 AM AST Thu Sep 2 Location: 24.4°N 65.8°W Max sustained: 50 mph Moving: NNW at 17 mph Min pressure: 1002 mb Tropical Depression GASTON
...GASTON WEAKENS...NOW A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... 11:00 AM AST Thu Sep 2 Location: 14.0°N 38.9°W Max sustained: 35 mph Moving: WNW at 7 mph Min pressure: 1008 mb Wednesday, September 1, 2010 continental United States
DANGEROUS AND LARGE HURRICANE EARL POSES A THREAT TO THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WATCHES AND WARNINGS EXTENDED NORTHWARD THROUGH MASSACHUSETTS
SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION LOCATION...27.2N 73.5W WATCHES AND WARNINGS CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE INTERESTS IN NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND SOUTHEASTERN CANADA SHOULD FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK AT 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER EARL IS A LARGE HURRICANE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 941 MB...27.79 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND WINDS...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE NORTH STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS RAINFALL...ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED SURF...LARGE SWELLS FROM EARL WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE BAHAMAS Tropical Storm FIONA FIONA MOVING OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION LOCATION...20.2N 62.9W WATCHES AND WARNINGS CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL THE GOVERNMENT OF NETHERLANDS ANTILLES HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE WILL DISCONTINUE THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... NONE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FIONA WAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND RAINFALL...FIONA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF Tropical Storm GASTON
500 PM AST WED SEP 01 2010 ...THE SEVENTH NAMED STORM OF THE SEASON FORMS...THE FOURTH TROPICAL SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION LOCATION...12.9N 37.0W WATCHES AND WARNINGS THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GASTON WAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND NONE earlier continental United States
LARGE HURRICANE EARL THREATENS PORTIONS OF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST HURRICANE WARNINGS ISSUED
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION 11:00 AM EDT Wed Sep 1 Location: 25.1°N 72.1°W Max sustained: 125 mph Moving: NW at 17 mph Min pressure: 943 mb WATCHES AND WARNINGS CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED THE HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ADJUSTED NORTHWARD AND NOW EXTENDS FROM A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM CAPE FEAR TO WEST OF SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE INTERESTS ELSEWHERE FROM NEW JERSEY TO NEW ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH EARL IS A LARGE HURRICANE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 943 MB...27.85 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND WINDS...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...MAINLY IN GUSTS OVER STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER RAINFALL...ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED SURF...LARGE SWELLS FROM EARL SHOULD AFFECT THE BAHAMAS AND THE Tuesday, August 31, 2010 Three Storms
The current Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite GOES-13 captured this image of Hurricane Danielle heading for the north Atlantic (top center), Hurricane Earl with a visible eye hitting the Leeward Islands (left bottom) and a developing tropical depression 8 (lower right) at 1:45 p.m. EDT on Aug. 30. USS Enterprise Braces for Hurricane Danielle
By Mass Communication Specialist 3rd Class Michael Croft and Mass Communication Specialist Seaman Apprentice Jared M. King, USS Enterprise Public Affairs USS ENTERPRISE, At Sea (NNS) -8/26/2010 3:56:00 PM- The crew of the aircraft carrier USS Enterprise (CVN 65) is preparing for high winds and heavy seas Aug. 26 as Hurricane Danielle makes her way up the Atlantic coast while the ship conducts work-ups. Information gathered from the Naval Maritime Forecast Center's website predicts Danielle's path will stay well off the Eastern Seaboard. However, with Enterprise conducting flight operations off the Atlantic coast, Danielle could create complications for the thousands of Sailors aboard. According to Enterprise's Meteorology and Oceanography Center (METOC), the aircraft carrier should not get directly hit by the storm, but the crew will likely feel the effects due to the ship's proximity. As the ship moves away from the hurricane, the crew is implementing safeguards to protect personnel and vital equipment from damage. While aircraft carriers do not rock as much as smaller ships, heavy sea states can cause damage. "We should start seeing the effects from Danielle this weekend," said Lt. Cmdr. Patrick J. Havel, Enterprise's METOC officer. "We can expect 20-knot winds from the north and 10-foot swells." Sailors aboard Enterprise are tying down all loose objects on board to ensure they don't damage personnel or equipment in the event of heavy rolls. The Navy trains to make stowing for sea, as this process is called, second nature to Sailors. Stowing for sea is important to protect equipment, but the safety of each Sailor and Marine is the top priority. "Depending upon how rough the seas are, the damage costs could run into thousands of dollars, and we run the risk of serious injury," said Hospital Corpsman 1st Class David B. Hall. Anything not secured to an immobile object, bulkhead, overhead or deck must be tied down before the ship can be considered stowed for sea. In an announcement over the ship's loudspeaker system, the ship's commanding officer, Capt. O. P. Honors Jr., informed the crew of the situation and ordered all hands to take the necessary actions to ensure the ship is prepared for the storm. Hurricane Danielle is the fourth named storm this hurricane season. Enterprise is conducting work-ups and flight deck operations in preparation for its upcoming deployment. Continental United States
NORTH ATLANTIC
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE EARL...LOCATED ABOUT 190 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO...AND ON TROPICAL STORM FIONA...LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. 1. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IS PRODUCING SOME SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES WESTWARD NEAR 15 MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. Hurricane EARL POWERFUL HURRICANE EARL CONTINUES WITH 135 MPH WINDS > SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION LOCATION...21.2N 67.9W ABOUT 205 MI...335 KM E OF GRAND TURK ISLAND ABOUT 1070 MI...1725 KM SSE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH...215 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...939 MB...27.73 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... INTERESTS FROM THE CAROLINAS NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/HR...WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND WINDS...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO SPREAD STORM SURGE...ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND RAINFALL...RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE STILL Fiona FIONA CONTINUES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION LOCATION...15.9N 55.3W WATCHES AND WARNINGS SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FIONA WAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF THE Danielle DANIELLE BECOMES POST-TROPICAL
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION LOCATION...41.3N 47.1W WATCHES AND WARNINGS THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DANIELLE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES...445 KM ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.79 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND SURF...LARGE WAVES...AND DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS SHOULD DIMINISH Monday, August 30, 2010 Continental United States
NORTH ATLANTIC
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE EARL...LOCATED ABOUT 25 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF ST. MARTIN...AND ON HURRICANE DANIELLE...LOCATED ABOUT 440 MILES SOUTH OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND. 1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 1050 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. IF THIS TREND CONTINUES...A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD AT ABOUT 20 MPH. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...90 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. Hurricane EARL
A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE PUERTO RICAN ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES. THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...AND NEVIS TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 63.6W AT 30/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 25SW 35NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 90SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT.......160NE 150SE 100SW 140NW. 12 FT SEAS..320NE 170SE 100SW 160NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. Sunday, August 29, 2010 Hurricane DANIELLE DANIELLE CONTINUES AS A HURRICANE OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC OCEAN SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION LOCATION...38.0N 54.5W WATCHES AND WARNINGS THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANIELLE WAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM...FROM ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 977 MB...28.85 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND SURF...LARGE WAVES AND DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS SHOULD DIMINISH
Hurricane EARL EARL ATTAINS HURRICANE STRENGTH
HURRICANE EARL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010 200 PM AST SUN AUG 29 2010DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT EARL HAS BECOME A HURRICANE WITH MAXIMIM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 75 MPH...120 KM/HR. OUTER RAINBANDS OF EARL APPROACHING THE ISLANDS OF ANTIGUA AND SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION LOCATION...17.4N 58.9W SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK AT 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AIR FORCE HURRICANE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HURRICANE STORM SURGE...STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 RAINFALL...EARL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
Continental United States
NORTH ATLANTIC
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE DANIELLE...LOCATED ABOUT 440 MILES EAST OF BERMUDA...AND ON TROPICAL STORM EARL...LOCATED ABOUT 370 MILES EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. Update for area of low pressure, near coast of Africa 14:37 EST 8/29/2010 1. ALTHOUGH THE CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED MIDWAY BETWEEN THE WEST COAST OF AFRICA AND THE LESSER ANTILLES HAS BECOME BETTER DEFINED TODAY...RECENT SATELLITE DATA INDICATE THAT IT DOES NOT YET APPEAR TO HAVE A WELL-DEFINED CENTER...AND THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...ONLY A SMALL INCREASE IN ORGANIZATION COULD RESULT IN THE FORMATION OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...AND THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...80 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD AT ABOUT 20 MPH. East Pacific
1. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. Saturday, August 28, 2010 Hurricane DANIELLE HURRICANE DANIELLE ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 500 PM AST SAT AUG 28 2010 ...DANIELLE WEAKENING A LITTLE...EXPECTED TO PASS WELL EAST OF BERMUDA LATER TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION LOCATION...30.3N 59.7W ABOUT 330 MI...535 KM ESE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.64 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... AT 5 PM AST...THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR BERMUDA. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.7 WEST. DANIELLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON SUNDAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ON MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DANIELLE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS...AND GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO COMMENCE ON SUNDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND SURF...LARGE WAVES AND DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS WILL AFFECT BERMUDA OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SWELLS FROM DANIELLE WILL BEGIN TO ARRIVE ON THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES LATER TODAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. Earlier On Saturday continental United States
NORTH ATLANTIC
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE DANIELLE...LOCATED ABOUT 320 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA...AND ON TROPICAL STORM EARL...LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. 1. A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...ASSOCIATED WITH A VIGOROUS TROPICAL WAVE...IS LOCATED ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. ALTHOUGH THIS SYSTEM HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION DURING THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...80 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. 2. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO ARE DISORGANIZED. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT NORTHWARD OVER LOUISIANA LATER TODAY...AND ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS UNLIKELY. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DANIELLE
Earl EARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT ABOUT 16 OR 17 KNOTS STEERED BY THE FLOW TO THE SOUTH OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. HOWEVER...IN A DAY OR SO...EARL WILL BE APPROACHING THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE RIDGE AND THE CYCLONE SHOULD BEGIN TO TURN MORE TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST. THE TRACK MODELS DIVERGE BEYOND 48 HOURS BUT ONCE AGAIN...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST AND THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE HAVE SHIFTED A LITTLE BIT SOUTHWARD AND WESTWARD. NEVERTHELESS...THE EXPECTED STEERING PATTERN STILL FAVORS A GRADUAL TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
East Pacific
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM FRANK...LOCATED ABOUT 240 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. 1. AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAS DEVELOPED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THIS ACTIVITY IS CURRENTLY DISORGANIZED...BUT SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. Frank FRANK HAS BEEN VOID OF DEEP CONVECTION FOR ABOUT 12 HOURS...AND WHAT REMAINS IS A WELL-DEFINED SWIRL OF LOW-LEVEL CLOUDS. BASED ON THE LACK OF DEEP CONVECTION FOR A WHILE NOW...FRANK NO LONGER QUALIFIES AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE AND IS BEING DECLARED A REMNANT LOW ON THIS ADVISORY. HOWEVER...THE REMNANT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION STILL APPEARS VIGOROUS...AND THUS THE INITIAL INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS ONLY LOWERED TO 30 KT. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 010/6...TO THE EAST AND A BIT FASTER THAN PREVIOUSLY. A WEAK LOW-LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW SHOULD STEER THE SHALLOW REMNANT LOW OF FRANK NORTH-NORTHEAST AND THEN NORTHEAST WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED UNTIL DISSIPATION IN A DAY OR TWO.
Friday, August 27, 2010 NORTH ATLANTIC
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON MAJOR HURRICANE DANIELLE...LOCATED ABOUT 545 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA...AND ON TROPICAL STORM EARL...LOCATED ABOUT 1430 MILES EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. 1. A VIGOROUS TROPICAL WAVE ACCOMPANIED BY A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS CENTERED ABOUT 210 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. ALTHOUGH SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS CHANGED LITTLE OVERNIGHT...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 MPH. Hurricane DANIELLE THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DANIELLE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 59.8W AT 27/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 946 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 45NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 60SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT.......180NE 120SE 110SW 140NW. 12 FT SEAS..330NE 270SE 250SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
Tropical Storm EARL LOCATION...15.7N 43.6W ABOUT 1300 MI...2090 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. RESIDENTS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EARL.
Pacific Hurricane FRANK
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE FRANK...LOCATED ABOUT 330 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. FRANK CONTINUES TO WEAKEN. THE CLOUD PATTERN CONSISTS OF A SMALL AREA OF PULSATING DEEP CONVECTION JUST TO THE WEST OF THE ESTIMATED CENTER...WITH VERY LITTLE IN THE WAY OF BANDING FEATURES.
Thursday, August 26, 2010
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE DANIELLE...LOCATED ABOUT 680 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA...AND ON TROPICAL STORM EARL...LOCATED ABOUT 1620 MILES EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. 1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A VIGOROUS TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 350 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS HAVE BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. earlier NORTH ATLANTIC
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE DANIELLE...LOCATED ABOUT 640 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...AND ON TROPICAL STORM EARL...LOCATED ABOUT 695 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. DANIELLE HAS GONE THROUGH ANOTHER ROUND OF CHANGES IN ITS CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE. THE EYE THAT WAS APPARENT FROM 05-07Z DISAPPEARED AT ABOUT 10Z...ACCOMPANIED BY AN OVERALL DECREASE IN ORGANIZATION. SINCE THEN...THE EYE HAS RE-APPEARED...EMBEDDED IN A RAGGED CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 90 KT FROM TAFB AND SAB...SO THAT REMAINS THE INITIAL INTENSITY. HOWEVER...THIS MAY BE SMOOTHING THROUGH SOME SHORT-TERM FLUCTUATIONS. Hurricane Danielle projected storm track
tropical storm Earl VISIBLE AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE EARL HAS NOT BECOME ANY BETTER ORGANIZED SINCE THE LAST ADVISORY. IN FACT...THE INNER CORE CONVECTION HAS ERODED DUE TO DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT NOTED IN CONVENTIONAL WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND IN A 0735Z SSMI WATER VAPOR IMAGE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY WILL REMAIN 40 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY BASED ON A BLEND OF SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KT AND 35 KT FROM TAFB AND SAB...RESPECTIVELY. THE CENTER OF EARL HAS BEEN REPOSITIONED ABOUT 30 NMI SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND FORECAST TRACK BASED ON A BLEND OF VISIBLE AND MICROWAVE FIXES.
Pacific Hurricane Frank
FRANK IS EXPECTED TO RESUME A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION DURING THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS AS IT IS STEERED BY A MID-LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES. THEREAFTER...A TURN TO THE NORTHWEST AND THEN NORTH WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST AS A DEEP LAYER TROUGH AMPLIFIES NEAR THE WEST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES.
Wednesday, August 25, 2010 NORTH ATLANTIC
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE DANIELLE...LOCATED ABOUT 685 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...AND ON TROPICAL STORM EARL...LOCATED ABOUT 520 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. 1. A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS IS LOCATED OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT DRIFTS WESTWARD OR WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. Pacific Hurricane Frank Hurricane Frank has killed four people in Mexico since forming on Sunday. Tropical storm Frank was upgraded to hurricane Frank, today, Wednesday, August 25, 2010 earlier NORTH ATLANTIC
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE DANIELLE...LOCATED ABOUT 710 MILES EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...AND ON RECENTLY-DEVELOPED TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN... LOCATED ABOUT 430 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. 1. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO TO THE EAST OF SOUTHERN TEXAS IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT DRIFTS WESTWARD OR WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. Hurricane Danielle five day track
TD 7 five day track
Pacific Hurricane Frank
FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY- UPGRADED HURRICANE FRANK...LOCATED ABOUT 170 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO.
earlier
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE DANIELLE...LOCATED ABOUT 795 MILES EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. 1. A WELL-DEFINED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 MPH. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED AND IS NOW MORE CONCENTRATED NEAR THE CENTER...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION APPEARS TO BE DEVELOPING. ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY BE INITIATED ON THIS DISTURBANCE LATER THIS MORNING. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...NEAR 100 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS 2. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO TO THE EAST OF SOUTHERN TEXAS IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE CURRENTLY UNFAVORABLE AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT DRIFTS WESTWARD OR WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. Tuesday, August 24, 2010 Atlantic
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM DANIELLE...LOCATED ABOUT 895 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. 1. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 125 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IS ACCOMPANIED BY A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS. ALTHOUGH SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS RECENTLY BECOME A LITTLE LESS ORGANIZED...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS AND COMPUTER MODELS FAVOR THE FORMATION OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE, 90 PERCENT, OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 15 MPH. 2. A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO EXTENDING EASTWARD FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES IS ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH. DEVELOPMENT, IF ANY, OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT DRIFTS WESTWARD. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE, 10 PERCENT, OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. earlier
Hurricane DANIELLE Advisory THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE DANIELLE. LOCATED ABOUT 1110 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 44.6W AT 24/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. area 1 - 90% 1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE PASSING ABOUT 100 MILES SOUTH OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...AND IT APPEARS THAT A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD BE FORMING. IF THIS TREND CONTINUES ADVISORIES ON THIS SYSTEM COULD BE INITIATED AS EARLY AS LATER THIS MORNING. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE, 90 PERCENT, OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT NEAR 15 MPH. LOCALLY HEAVY SHOWERS AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS TODAY AND INTERESTS IN THOSE ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. Pacific Tropical Storm FRANK
SINCE THE FORECAST TRACK KEEPS FRANK WELL OFFSHORE OF THE COAST OF MEXICO, THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING. HEAVY RAINS ARE STILL POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO AND CENTRAL AMERICA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ALTHOUGH THESE RAINS ARE NOT DIRECTLY ASSOCIATED WITH FRANK, THEY STILL POSE A FLOOD THREAT. Monday, August 23, 2010 Atlantic
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM DANIELLE...LOCATED ABOUT 1025 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. 1. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE OFF THE AFRICAN COAST IS SHOWING SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE. IT COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD NEAR 15 MPH. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
Frank
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 98.2W AT 23/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM, PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 7 KT
Sunday, August 22, 2010 Tropical Storm DANIELLE
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON Tropical Storm DANIELLE...LOCATED ABOUT 665 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
RECENT SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE DEPRESSION OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC HAS STRENGTHENED INTO TROPICAL STORM DANIELLE. AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DANIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 35.1 WEST. DANIELLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND DANIELLE COULD BE NEAR HURRICANE INTENSITY BY LATE TUESDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
earlier
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX...LOCATED ABOUT 635 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX...LOCATED ABOUT 600 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. Archived stories Saturday, August 21, 2010
1. SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED ABOUT 550 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS HAVE BECOME MUCH BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE LOW MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE... 60 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. earlier 
1. A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE HAS MOVED INLAND OVER MEXICO NEAR TAMPICO. DEVELOPMENT IS NOT ANTICIPATED AND THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE. 2. A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER EXTENDING FROM NEAR THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS SOUTHWESTWARD FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES HAS NOT BECOME ANY BETTER ORGANIZED SINCE YESTERDAY. HOWEVER... THIS SYSTEM STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT... OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. Friday, August 20, 2010
1. DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS WHILE THE SYSTEM IS OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. 2. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE HAS FORMED ABOUT 275 MILES SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. Thursday, August 19, 2010
1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE IN ASSOCIATION WITH A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. HOWEVER...NO SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED BEFORE THIS SYSTEM MOVES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND CENTRAL AMERICA ON FRIDAY. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 2. A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER EXTENDS FROM THE WEST COAST OF AFRICA TO THE SOUTH OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED THIS EVENING ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. earlier
1. CLOUDINESS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AND THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. Wednesday, August 18, 2010
1. CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS OVER THE WEST CENTRAL CARIBBEAN ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 MPH. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AND THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. Tuesday, August 17, 2010
1. A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED OVER EASTERN HISPANIOLA AND EXTENDING SOUTHWARD OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA IS PRODUCING WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS AND DISORGANIZED SHOWER ACTIVITY. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE...IF ANY...SHOULD TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS DUE TO UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. earlier Remnants of TD 5 may strengthen, 0% chance 
1. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE... HAS MOVED INLAND ALONG THE WESTERN MISSISSIPPI GULF COAST DURING THE LAST COUPLE OF HOURS. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED NOW THAT THE LOW HAS MOVED ONSHORE. THERE IS LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND OCCASIONAL GUSTY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW ARE STILL POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO COAST TODAY. Monday, August 16, 2010 Remnants of TD 5 may strengthen, 60% chance
1. THE REMNANT CIRCULATION OF FORMER TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE IS LOCATED ABOUT 75 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MOBILE BAY...AND ABOUT 90 MILES EAST OF SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA. ALTHOUGH SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS CURRENTLY LIMITED...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR LATER TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING. ONLY A SMALL INCREASE IN ORGANIZATION WOULD RESULT IN THE FORMATION OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THERE REMAINS A HIGH CHANCE, 60 PERCENT, OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE BEFORE MOVING INLAND OVER THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON TUESDAY. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO COAST THROUGH TUESDAY. SEE STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION. earlier today Remnants of TD 5 may strengthen, 60% chance
1. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE...IS LOCATED OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO ABOUT 60 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD AND THEN WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE, 60 PERCENT OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT, LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO COAST THROUGH TUESDAY. SEE STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION. Earlier This Morning Remnants of TD 5 may strengthen, 50% chance
1. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE IS LOCATED OVER THE EXTREME NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO JUST SOUTH OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO BE MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE 50 PERCENT, OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT; LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO SOUTHERN LOUISIANA THROUGH TUESDAY. Sunday, August 15, 2010 Remnants of TD 5 may strengthen, 20% chance
1. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE...IS LOCATED OVER SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE SOUTHWARD TOWARD THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TODAY AND COULD EMERGE OVER THE GULF WATERS BY MONDAY WHERE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. Time to Get Ready for Hurricane Season Posted by Craig Fugate on May 27, 2010 at 04:47 PM EDT Today marks only six days until the start of hurricane season. FEMA is working across the administration and with our state and local officials to be ready and earlier today I joined Homeland Security Secretary Napolitano, NOAA Administrator Dr. Lubchenco, Bill Read of the National Hurricane Center and five FEMA regional administrators to brief President Obama about our continuing efforts. FEMA has been in regular contact with Governors, congressional delegations, and emergency managers in coastal states to ensure they have the tools and resources they need to prepare for, respond to, and recover from any potential hurricane impacts. FEMA, the states, and local governments all have important roles, but the bottom line is - we can only be as prepared as the public is prepared. The fact is FEMA is only part of the team. State, tribal and local offices, the private sector, faith-based groups, non-profits, and most importantly, the general public, all have a role to play as well. Families and business in coastal communities all need to take steps now to prepare for hurricane season – but because no one is immune from emergencies, you should take these steps to increase your preparedness whether you live in a hurricane-prone area or not. They include putting together a communications plan, getting an emergency kit, and staying informed and following the instructions of local officials. Ready.gov is a valuable source of information on preparedness, with links for business and children as well. FEMA also recently launched a mobile version of our website, which can be found at m.fema.gov, to give people quick access to the disaster information and tools on their smart phones. This season there has also been a lot of questions on the BP oil spill. Our planning has certainly involved consideration of the effects that the BP oil spill could have on the response capabilities and recovery scenarios. But, the existence of the spill does not change FEMA’s initial priority during a response, which is to support the states and do everything possible to protect lives and property. And my message to the public is – whether or not we have an oil spill, if you have a major hurricane coming, you have to listen to the advice of your state and local officials, and if they tell you to evacuate, you need to evacuate. Hurricane season officially starts June 1st. So now’s the time to get ready – get a family communications plan, put together an emergency kit, and pay attention to announcements and instructions from local officials. Being prepared will go a long way toward keeping your family safe this summer. For more information on how to how your family can become better prepared, visit www.ready.gov. Craig Fugate is the Administrator of the Federal Emergency Management Agency
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052010 1100 AM EDT WED AUG 11 2010 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND BUOY REPORTS INDICATE THAT THE CIRCULATION OF THE DEPRESSION REMAINS VERY LARGE AND ELONGATED. BANDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LOCATED AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE DEPRESSION BUT REMAIN LIMITED NEAR THE CENTER. IT APPEARS THAT THE CENTER...SUCH AS IT IS...REFORMED OVERNIGHT TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE EARLIER ESTIMATES. A MEAN CENTER OF THE OVERALL SYSTEM RATHER THAN A WIND CENTER WAS USED FOR THE ADVISORY POSITION. THE INITIAL INTENSITY WAS LOWERED TO 25 KT THIS MORNING...AND THESE WINDS ARE LIMITED TO A FEW RAIN BANDS IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. DUE TO THE POOR ORGANIZATION OF THE SYSTEM...THE INITIAL MOTION IS HIGHLY UNCERTAIN. THE BEST ESTIMATE IS 305/10. THE TRACK GUIDANCE HAS NOT CHANGED THIS MORNING AND CONTINUES TO INDICATE A NORTHWEST MOTION AROUND THE SOUTHWEST SIDE OF A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE LOCATED NEAR THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES COAST. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL LANDFALL IN ABOUT 24 HOURS. THEREAFTER... THE RIDGE IS FORECAST TO SHIFT SOUTH AND WEAKEN...WHICH IS EXPECTED TO CAUSE THE DEPRESSION TO SLOW DOWN AND TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND THEN NORTHEAST. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...BUT IS A LITTLE FASTER DUE TO THE UPDATED INITIAL POSITION. ALTHOUGH THE UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR STRENGTHENING...THE SPRAWLING STRUCTURE OF THE DEPRESSION SUGGESTS THAT ANY INTENSIFICATION WOULD BE SLOW. IN ADDITION...THE SYSTEM SHOULD NOW HAVE LESS TIME OVER WATER THAN PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED. AS A RESULT...THE NEW INTENSITY FORECAST IS LOWERED FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...BUT IS STILL A LITTLE ABOVE THE SHIPS/LGEM GUIDANCE. ALTHOUGH THE GFDL AND HWRF ARE MORE AGGRESSIVE...THE INITIALIZATION OF THESE MODELS IS UNLIKELY TO ACCURATELY REFLECT THE CURRENT CYCLONE STRUCTURE. ONE SHOULD NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT TRACK OF WEAK TROPICAL CYCLONES SINCE MOST OF THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER IS TYPICALLY WELL REMOVED FROM THE CENTER. THIS IS CERTAINLY THE CASE WITH THIS DEPRESSION. IF THE DEPRESSION SLOWS DOWN AS FORECAST AFTER LANDFALL...HEAVY RAINFALL WOULD BECOME THE PRIMARY THREAT.FORECASTER STEWART
Tuesday, August 3, 2010
Tropical Storm COLIN AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM COLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.2 WEST. COLIN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 23 MPH...37 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF COLIN WILL PASS WELL TO THE NORTHEAST AND NORTH OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS LATE WEDNESDAY AND EARLY THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS OR SO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. Recent Tropical Weather Serves As A Reminder To Be Prepared June’s Hurricane Alex and July’s Tropical Depression 2 and Tropical Storm Bonnie serve as strong reminders to Texans living and/or working in or near hurricane-prone areas to prepare, plan and stay informed during this year’s hurricane season. The season, which started on June 1, has already seen two named storms. Weather experts continue to forecast it to be an active to extremely active season and officials with the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) Region 6 offices in Denton, Texas remain vigilant should the need arise to support the state during an emergency. “A good question to ask right now is -- Are We Ready?” said Region 6 Administrator Tony Russell. “Is the family emergency plan finalized? Are the emergency kits packed and ready to go? Is everyone familiar with the local guidance on what to do should a storm pose a threat to the area?” Prepare a family emergency kit by gathering items needed, plan how your family will communicate before, during and after the emergency, and stay informed by listening to local media and following the instructions of local officials. “A great way to share preparedness information is to tell a friend, inform a neighbor, ask family members, or mention it at work,” added Russell. “We just want everyone to be ready should a storm head our way again.” Easy websites to remember are www.ready.gov and www.txdps.state.tx.us/dem/index.htm, which offer a wealth of information on hurricane preparedness. FEMA's mission is to support our citizens and first responders to ensure that as a nation we work together to build, sustain, and improve our capability to prepare for, protect against, respond to, recover from, and mitigate all hazards Monday, August 2, 2010
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT MON AUG 2 2010 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR...LOCATED ABOUT 1365 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. 1. A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE ACCOMPANIED BY A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS MOVING ACROSS EASTERN NICARAGUA AND NORTHEASTERN HONDURAS. ALTHOUGH SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED SOMEWHAT. PROXIMITY TO LAND SHOULD INHIBIT ANY SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE AS IT MOVES ACROSS CENTRAL AMERICA AND INTO THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 200 AM EDT MON AUG 2 2010 LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM, WEST-SOUTHWEST OF CAPE VERDE ISLANDS PRODUCING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 90% chance of strengthening.
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... 1. CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 950 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS REMAIN FAIRLY WELL ORGANIZED...HOWEVER SATELLITE MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW DOES NOT YET HAVE A WELL-DEFINED SURFACE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. NONETHELESS...CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM AT ANY TIME DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...90 PERCENT...OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 2. A TROPICAL WAVE APPROACHING THE COAST OF NICARAGUA IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND ADJACENT LAND AREAS. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS UNLIKELY BEFORE IT MOVES INLAND LATER TODAY... AND THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. Sunday, August 1, 2010 800 PM EDT SUN AUG 1 2010 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... 1. A LARGE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 900 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION ...BUT DOES NOT APPEAR TO HAVE A WELL-DEFINED SURFACE CENTER. HOWEVER...CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM AT ANY TIME DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...90 PERCENT...OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 2. A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES EAST OF THE COAST OF NICARAGUA IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND ADJACENT LAND AREAS. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS UNLIKELY BEFORE IT MOVES INLAND IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO AND THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 8 AM Eastern standard Time Sunday, August 1, 2010 1. A NEARLY STATIONARY LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 850 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IS PRODUCING NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS ACTIVITY HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING AND CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE DISTURBANCE MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 2. A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE IS PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. HOWEVER...THIS ACTIVITY REMAINS SOMEWHAT DISORGANIZED AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY NOT CONDUCIVE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT BEFORE THE DISTURBANCE MOVES INTO CENTRAL AMERICA IN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. Weather for Sunday, July 25, 2010 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. earlier
Weather conditions FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... 1. THE REMNANT LOW OF BONNIE...CENTERED ABOUT 25 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA...CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. RE-DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED BEFORE THE LOW REACHES THE SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA COAST EARLY THIS MORNING. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 2. A DISORGANIZED AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO IS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST NEAR TUXPAN. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED SINCE THE LOW IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY MOVE INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO TODAY. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE... NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ previously Saturday, 7 24 2010 Tropical Depression BONNIE Public Advisory
US Watch/Warning 000 WTNT33 KNHC 240846 TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION BONNIE ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032010 400 AM CDT SAT JUL 24 2010 ...BONNIE CONTINUES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...STILL A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION LOCATION...27.0N 85.1W ABOUT 285 MI...455 KM ESE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER ABOUT 185 MI...300 KM S OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1013 MB...29.91 INCHES SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * DESTIN FLORIDA TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA...INCLUDING LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.1 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR. A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN THE DIRECTION OF MOTION. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF BONNIE IS FORECAST TO MOVE OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO TODAY AND APPROACH THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE TODAY...AND BONNIE COULD REGAIN TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH BEFORE REACHING THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 1013 MB...29.91 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MAINLY IN SQUALLS WILL LIKELY BEGIN ALONG PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA LATE TODAY. RAINFALL...BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN ALABAMA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...AND THE FAR WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 3 INCHES. STORM SURGE...STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. earlier 7 24 2010 TROPICAL STORM BONNIE Tropical Storm Warning Alert: ...BONNIE REMAINS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BUT MAY RE-STRENGTHEN TO TROPICAL STORM STATUS SATURDAY WHILE MOVING ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO... AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND GULF COASTAL WATERS DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA OUT 60 NM. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES FROM THE ALABAMA-MISSISSIPPI BORDER TO DESTIN FLORIDA. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR ALL OF GULF COASTAL WATERS DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA OUT 60 NM. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 10 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.4N...LONGITUDE 83.4W. THIS WAS ABOUT 420 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MOBILE AL...OR ABOUT 360 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ABOUT 35 MPH. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... BONNIE COULD REGAIN TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH BEFORE REACHING THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT AND SATURDAY AND REACH THE NORTHERN GULF COAST SATURDAY NIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY. 7 23 2010
Pig Latin Today - tropical storm Bonnie is right on me = ropicaltay ormstay onniebay isay ightray onay emay BONNIE IS NOT A WELL-ORGANIZED TROPICAL STORM. DUE TO STRONGSHEAR THE CENTER OF THE CYCLONE IS DISPLACED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE STRONGEST CONVECTION WHICH IS ALREADY OVER SOUTHEAST FLORIDA. LITTLE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IS TRAILING THE CYCLONE. SATELLITE AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS NEARBY INDICATE THAT THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS AT 35 KNOTS AND THESE WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A FEW RAINBANDS MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. BONNIE WILL BE MOVING OVER SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY WHERE THE CIRCULATION COULD BECOME EVEN MORE DISRUPTED. THE ENVIRONMENT IN THE GULF OF MEXICO IS NOT FAVORABLE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING AND IN FACT, GLOBAL AND HURRICANE DYNAMICAL MODELS INSIST ON WEAKENING OR EVEN DISSIPATING THE CYCLONE GRADUALLY. BONNIE COULD DEGENERATE INTO A TROPICAL WAVE AS IT CROSSES FLORIDA BUT THE OFFICIAL FORECAST STILL SHOWS SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO.
Gov. of Louisiana Bobby Jindal wants to re-open offshore oil drilling, maybe he won't have to, tropical storm Bonnie may blow the oil onto the streets of the Big Easy where they will be able to just pick it up with spoons and buckets. If you play spoons in the French Quarter, this may be your big chance at stardom. The last time we had a storm named Bonnie in Florida, August, 1994, it was closely followed by hurricane Charley, August 13, 2004, a day that will live in infamy, for a lot of people in Florida.
Check your local fuel prices. 
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