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This is hurricane season, are you prepared, we have had 7 named storms in the Atlantic, Alex, Bonnie, Colin, Danielle, Earl, Fiona and Gaston. Have a three day supply of food, water, batteries, fuel, medical supplies, and stay tuned to NOAA weather radio!



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Friday, September 3, 2010

Continental United States

weather-forecasts-buying-3-2010
continental United States graphical weather forecast



FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

atlantic-satellite-9-3-2010
Infrared satellite image of the Atlantic Ocean

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE EARL...LOCATED ABOUT 130 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA...AND ON TROPICAL STORM FIONA...LOCATED ABOUT 285 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA.

1. CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS LOCATED ABOUT 1150 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS HAVE INCREASED OVERNIGHT IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE REMNANTS OF GASTON. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS MAY BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR RE-DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LOW AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

2. A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED BETWEEN THE WEST COAST OF AFRICA AND THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD NEAR 10 MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.



Hurricane EARL

earl-wind-9-3-2010
tropical wind speed probabilities

...A LARGE BUT WEAKER HURRICANE EARL HEADING FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND...

11:00 AM EDT Fri Sep 3

Location: 36.8°N 73.1°W

Max sustained: 85 mph

Moving: NNE at 21 mph

Min pressure: 961 mb

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH CAROLINA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED...AND
REPLACED BY A TROPICAL STORM WARNING NORTH OF OCRACOKE.

THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA FOR MASSACHUSETTS HAS BEEN REDUCED.

THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR WESTERN LONG ISLAND AND THE COAST OF
CONNECTICUT WEST OF NEW HAVEN HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

ALL WATCHES/WARNINGS BETWEEN HULL MASSACHUSETTS AND CAPE ELIZABETH
MAINE HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.

NUMEROUS CHANGES TO CANADIAN WATCHES AND WARNINGS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WOODS HOLE EASTWARD AROUND CAPE COD TO SAGAMORE BEACH
MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET ISLAND

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NOVA SCOTIA FROM ECUM SECUM WESTWARD TO DIGBY

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* OCRACOKE NORTH CAROLINA TO SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY...INCLUDING
DELAWARE BAY SOUTH OF SLAUGHTER BEACH AND THE CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH
OF NEW POINT COMFORT
* THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND NEW YORK FROM FIRE ISLAND INLET EASTWARD
ON THE SOUTH SHORE AND PORT JEFFERSON HARBOR EASTWARD ON THE NORTH
SHORE
* NEW HAVEN CONNECTICUT TO WEST OF WOODS HOLE MASSACHUSETTS...
INCLUDING BLOCK ISLAND
* NORTH OF SAGAMORE BEACH TO HULL MASSACHUSETTS
* STONINGTON MAINE TO EASTPORT MAINE
* THE COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA FROM FORT LAWRENCE SOUTHWARD AND EASTWARD
TO ECUM SECUM
* TIDNISH TO LISMORE
* PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE ELIZABETH TO WEST OF STONINGTON MAINE
* NEW BRUNSWICK FROM THE U.S./CANADA BORDER EASTWARD TO FORT
LAWRENCE
* NOVA SCOTIA FROM ECUM SECUM NORTHEASTWARD TO LISMORE
* THE MAGDALEN ISLANDS

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 36.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.1 WEST. EARL IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 21 MPH...33 KM/HR. AN INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ARE EXPECTED IN THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF EARL
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS
TODAY...AND APPROACH SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 85 MPH...140
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. EARL IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. WEAKENING IS FORECAST...BUT EARL IS EXPECTED
REMAIN A LARGE HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.

LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE PLANE WAS
961 MB...28.38 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

WINDS...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE STILL OCCURRING ALONG
PORTIONS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BUT
ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH LATER TODAY.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE ALONG THE COAST
FROM VIRGINIA NORTHWARD AND REACH SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND LATER
TODAY...AND SPREAD OVER THE COAST OF MAINE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
TONIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA IN SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS TONIGHT AND SATURDAY
MORNING.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS
MUCH AS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING AREA OVER NORTH CAROLINA...AS WELL AS IN THE LOWER
CHESAPEAKE BAY. STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2
TO 4 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA OVER
MASSACHUSETTS. ELSEWHERE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
AREA...STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3
FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

RAINFALL...EARL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE AN ADDITIONAL INCH OR SO OF
RAINFALL...WITH ISOLATED STORM TOTALS OF 5 INCHES OVER
PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING THE OUTER BANKS.
ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 5
INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND. ACCUMULATIONS
OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER COASTAL PORTIONS OF
VIRGINIA...MARYLAND AND DELAWARE AND ALSO ACROSS CENTRAL AND
COASTAL MAINE.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS FROM EARL WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE EAST COAST
OF THE UNITED STATES TODAY. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE DANGEROUS
SURF CONDITIONS AND RIP CURRENTS.



Tropical Storm FIONA

fiona-wind-9-3-2010

...AIR FORCE RESERVE AIRCRAFT FINDS FIONA WEAKER...

11:00 AM AST Fri Sep 3

Location: 29.0°N 66.4°W

Max sustained: 45 mph

Moving: NNE at 13 mph

Min pressure: 1010 mb



WATCHES AND WARNINGS

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO BERMUDA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK

AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FIONA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.4 WEST. FIONA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO WITH
SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ANTICIPATED ON SUNDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FIONA SHOULD BE NEAR BERMUDA EARLY
SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS...AND FIONA COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY
LATE SATURDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE LATEST CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH BERMUDA
BY LATE THIS EVENING OR EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

RAINFALL...STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA.



Eastern Pacific
out to 140°W

Tropical Weather Outlook

ten-e- infrared-satellite-pacific-9-3-2010

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E...LOCATED ABOUT 220 MI SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.

1. A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC IS NEARLY STATIONARY. WHILE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE SOMEWHAT CONDUCIVE...THE PROXIMITY OF THE SYSTEM TO LAND IS EXPECTED TO LIMIT SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE.

THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS SYSTEM OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO AND GUATEMALA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.



Tropical Depression TEN-E

ten-e-cone-9-3-2010
Cone of probabilities

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NOT INTENSIFYING SOUTH OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...

8:00 AM PDT Fri Sep 3

Location: 20.0°N 110.4°W

Max sustained: 35 mph

Moving: WNW at 8 mph

Min pressure: 1000 mb

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK

AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.4 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13
KM/HR. THE CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO MOVE IN THIS GENERAL DIRECTION
AND FORWARD SPEED FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS. ONLY A SMALL INCREASE IN ORGANIZATION WOULD BRING THE
CYCLONE UP TO TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.



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